The Iran War Tax on Virginia Farmers

Virginias farmers are once again being sacrificed on Trump’s altar of stupidity and foolishness.  His Noble Great Mightiness’s war has already cost the lives of thousands in the Middle East, 13 of which are American service men and women.  In treasure every week, the war costs American taxpayers tens of billions of dollars.  Americans are also paying at the gas pumps and in grocery stores.  The defense department just presented a $200 billion reapers bill to Congress.  

Virginia’s farmers will pay additional costs as well. Not only in the rising costs of fuel and fertilizer but in sons and daughters.  Rural Americans are overrepresented in our armed forces.  Close to 45 percent of those in uniform come from counties like Louisa.

Didn’t Trump know it’s planting season.  Virginia farmers must decide what to plant this year.  Corn or soy or both.  Decisions about spending capital on new equipment must be made as well.  The soil must be tilled, the land prepped for seed. Yet, uncertainty abounds because of the war.  The confused and contradictory messages coming from the administration are unhelpful as to the war’s objectives, and most importantly, its end point. The feeds the uncertainty for farmers across Virginia and the nation.  It seems that while Iran is losing the war militarily, it is winning the war politically, strategically.  Hope and hubris are not war plans.

While this administration postures and dithers and twirls about like whirling dervishers, the supply of nitrates for fertilizer remains plugged up in the Persian Gulf, unable to make the passage through the Strait of Hormuz, that strategic strait of water on Iran’s southern shores.  Fertilizer prices have jumped as a result, on average about 20 percent.  It will take months to fix the fertilizer supply chain disruption caused by Trump’s chaotic war.  

Even if the war should end today, perhaps it’s too late for the farmers who need to make purchases now, or bet wrong earlier.  Soy doesn’t need nitrated based fertilizers, corn does.  Farmers may not take the risk of planting corn and go with soy instead.  That, however, will create a surplus of soy, thus lowering the price per bushel.  Can’t win either way.

That’s not all, because of this questionable war of choice, Trump cancelled his state visit with Xi of China.  China is the largest importer of soy in the world and last year not one American grown soybean was bought by China in retaliation for Trump’s punitive, and in some instances illegal, tariffs.  Virginia farmers lost tens if not hundreds of millions of dollars in exports because of Trump’s actions.  Virginia exports over a billion dollars’ worth of farm products to China. Not anymore. The announcement of the cancelled meeting caused the price of soy to drop.

It’s pain at the gas pumps.  We’ve all been to the gas station and noted the rise of gas and diesel prices.  Not fun paying $3.99 a gallon for gas and over $5 for diesel. They won’t be going down anytime soon.  Not with the Strait of Hormuz closed for the indefinite future and Trump threatening to put boots on Iranian ground.  

I did some research on what it cost in gas or diesel to plant and grow corn and soy, from seed to market.  Purdue University has some pretty good charts and tables that show the costs at each step of farming those crops.  There are at least 14 phases, I learned, taken in sequence to prepare the ground, plant the seeds, weed the fields, harvest the crops, and get them to market.  Most require tractors or combines or other farm vehicles.  

Basically, according to these Purdue University tables, to plant 300 acres or corn and 300 acres of soy, a farmer would use approximately 3655 gallons of fuel.  Broken down per acre, that would be $5.94 gallons per acre.  Of course there are variables like soil conditions, age of equipment, etc, that determine individual costs.  Diesel now cost about $5.59 per gallon (I didn’t deduct the taxes farmers are exempted from).  That comes out to almost $20,000 in diesel costs.  In prewar prices, it comes out to almost $13,000.  That’s a seven-thousand-dollar war tax on Virginia farmers.  Yes, it is a war tax. 

Did not Trump, his Noble Great Mightiness, this genius of all things, not see this coming?  And his equally impressive “We negotiate with bombs” Secretary of War, did he not see the potential consequences of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz?  Fools, the lot of them.

Because of Trump’s strategic failures, Virginia’s farmers are left with footing the bill for higher fertilizer costs, collapsing soy markets, and staggeringly high fuel costs at a critical time in the planting season.  

How long can Virginia’s farmers survive with this type of love from Trump? Blind obedience he demands.  ‘Suck it up,’ he says; ‘be patriotic,’ he says; ‘it’s only temporary pain,’ he says. Last year Trump authorized the payment of $30 billion in farmer bailouts because of his tariff fiasco.  This year he is already demanding that Congress pass a farm bill, immediately. He’s turning farmers into bailout junkies.

Another bailout is coming, a bribe to his “Farmers for Trump” tribe.  He thinks he can buy their silence and acquiescence.  He’s right it appears, but some are starting to see the light, it seems.  Not only is he bankrupting hard working farmers, he’s also sending many of their sons and daughters into harms way.  His uber patriotic sons and daughters never deigned to serve.  Hell, they wouldn’t be caught dead in uniform.  Barron isn’t running down to the recruiting station.  No, he was just named to the board of directors of a new company.  Another Nepo baby enriching himself and missing the wars, while our kids fight the wars.